When you elect Republican Representatives that don't care
about you !
Model Prediction - As of April 1st
There won't be any Gradual Migration to
Normal -- We will not have the patience to to STAY IN PLACE and KEEP
NON-ESSENTIAL SERVICES CLOSED.
After about three weeks of going back to close-to-normal ( probably end of May)
the Cases will start to spike again and we will be forced to return to SHELTER
AT HOME and CLOSE BUSINESSES. (Note that CA Peaks on April 26th).
In the US, after May, 95% will still have not been exposed to this virus !
This return of the Spike would have more likely happened in October but because
of our lack of resolution, it will probably happen by July-August, assuming lack
of seasonality of the Virus ( which there is evidence for).
By October-November there will probably be yet another spike when financial &
political forces put us back to work in denial of the predictions.
The Models
All of this assumes Schools stay closed till March 2021 !
We’re not going back to normal.
| |
Peak
ICU Bed shortage |
STAY AT
HOME Order |
Non-essential services closed |
|
Tennessee |
1,799 |
none |
March
30 |
|
Florida |
860 |
none |
none |
|
Texas |
309 |
none |
none |
|
Iowa |
456 |
none |
none |
|
Oklahoma |
302 |
none |
none |
|
S.Carolina |
66 |
none |
none |
|
S. Dakota |
17 |
none |
none |
|
Utah |
106 |
none |
none |
|
Wyoming |
23 |
none |
none |
|
