Why should we fight this nationwide trend towards less Public Transport.
We have to satisfy the Market demand - people's preferences.
Government trying to stem this demand is equivalent to
the old USSR trying to control its economy. |
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It is the 2% Market Share that MUST be used to evaluate
transit and here is why:
Despite the huge increase in the amount of transit over this period, market
share is 2% because transit cannot cater to the chosen mode of development
throughout the country -SPRAWL. There will never be "A
better measure of transit's effectiveness:- transit competitive trips"
simply because transit can never compete in the many suburbs and no one will
go/carry their shopping on the bus or train. Even if, lets say, 1/2 of all miles driven is non-commuting and of
the remaining 1/4 is the equivalent of commute driving to/from the Transit
Station then we could still allocate no more than 5% market share to transit
compared to the remaining competitive commute-miles driven.As to the other
"myths" we need to look at the Data.
"Myth" 3: Commuting by rail
is slower than commuting by car or bus. TWELVE
ANTI-TRANSIT MYTHS: fails to prove that a transit commute, with the average
interconnection time, is any faster.
"Myth" 4: Transit does not
relieve congestion. Quoting the St
Louis Police Chief is hardly a scientific argument. Here are the St Louis FACTSand the Induced Traffic
argument rebuttal. Also the data says a Freeway lane has a capacity of 5,000
vehicles per hour not 1,500. Where transit is serving large Metropolitan areas
with a market share far greater than 2% then it makes a difference, but
nationwide, at 2% overall average, it can make little difference to congestion.
Reference to the "Myths" can also be found here Transit
Referenda and Why They Succeed or Fail
US Urban Personal Vehicle & Public Transport Market Share
Year |
Estimated Urban
Personal Vehicle Passenger Miles |
Public
Transport Passenger Miles |
Personal Vehicle Market Share |
Personal Vehicle Market Share Change (Annual) |
Public Transport
Market Share |
Public Transport Market Share Change (Annual) |
1945 |
240.0 |
130.0 |
64.86% |
NA |
35.14% |
NA |
1950 |
403.0 |
90.0 |
81.74% |
4.73% |
18.26% |
-12.27% |
1955 |
515.0 |
60.0 |
89.57% |
1.84% |
10.43% |
-10.58% |
1960 |
627.0 |
48.0 |
92.89% |
0.73% |
7.11% |
-7.38% |
1965 |
786.0 |
43.0 |
94.81% |
0.41% |
5.19% |
-6.12% |
1970 |
1,089.0 |
41.0 |
96.37% |
0.33% |
3.63% |
-6.90% |
1975 |
1,247.2 |
38.0 |
97.04% |
0.14% |
2.96% |
-4.01% |
1980 |
1,373.9 |
39.9 |
97.18% |
0.03% |
2.82% |
-0.95% |
1985 |
1,594.8 |
39.6 |
97.58% |
0.08% |
2.42% |
-2.99% |
1990 |
1,966.4 |
41.1 |
97.95% |
0.08% |
2.05% |
-3.28% |
1991 |
1,981.9 |
40.9 |
97.98% |
0.01% |
2.02% |
-0.29% |
1992 |
2,083.0 |
40.3 |
98.10% |
0.02% |
1.90% |
-1.24% |
1993 |
2,142.4 |
39.4 |
98.19% |
0.02% |
1.81% |
-0.99% |
1994 |
2,220.4 |
39.6 |
98.25% |
0.01% |
1.75% |
-0.60% |
1995 |
2,203.6 |
39.8 |
98.23% |
-0.00% |
1.77% |
0.25% |
1996 |
2,239.5 |
41.3 |
98.19% |
-0.01% |
1.81% |
0.41% |
1997 |
2,313.2 |
43.3 |
98.16% |
-0.01% |
1.84% |
0.29% |
1998 |
2,397.8 |
44.1 |
98.19% |
0.01% |
1.81% |
-0.33% |
1999 |
2,438.8 |
45.8 |
98.16% |
-0.01% |
1.84% |
0.41% |
2000 (Prelim.) |
2,497.3 |
47.8 |
98.12% |
-0.01% |
1.88% |
0.37% |
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